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Penn Schtate Preview


In light of tomorrow's podcast/livestream/orgasmic collision of voice with special guest Mike of Black Shoe Diaries, I thought I'd go ahead and get to Penn State's turn in the barrel in the previews.

Previously: Illinois, Northwestern

Explanation and indemnifications found: here

Joepa_medium

Obligatory.  Also: Braaaaaaains.

Per Usual, a personal anecdote to start the post.  I married into something of a Penn State family.  My brother in law owns a wig, and has this infuriating device that plays zombie nation when you go to get more toilet paper from the roll.  I have no idea how this is accomplished.   In fact, I have a better idea of the technology that propelled men to the moon a mere 40 years ago than I do the technology that plays zombie nation whilst I poo.  It's almost enough to make me not wipe.  Almost.

Last year, I watched the UM vs. PSU game at my in-laws house while a neighborhood party took place around me.  I, clad in my authentic "20" jersey, and everyone around me clad in whatever white garb they could get their hands on sat in front of the TV in our own little white-out.  The wig was in full force.  I watched as Michigan pounded Penn State to take a shocking shocking shocking first half lead.  I tried to keep emotions tempered.  I knew what was coming.  I knew once Penn State said "oh, I guess they're just going to run right at us" in the locker room at half that it would be over.  I tried.  I didn't.  I fled up stairs to watch the 2nd half.  You tell me that I should be mature enough to put football on hold for a family party.  I tell you that I only get 13 games a year (12 sometimes! that's fun!) that this thing occurs.  I try not to care, indeed I tried not to care at the party.  I can't.  Didn't.  Did.  Whatever.  I came back down for my haranguing like a man who had to leave a nice gathering because a stupid sports team was losing.  Man, indeed.

Particulars and preview-like-substance dead ahead.  Just click below.

Star-divide

According to national rankings, the Nittany Lions are either a solidly top-10 team, or flirting with the top-10 in 2009.  After a season that saw Penn State as co-champs of the Big Ten and eventual Rose Bowl whipping boys to USC  (No shame in that.  Not at all), the expectations are understandably high in Happy Valley this year as JoePa returns for his 80th season as head coach.  80th billion.  Did you see what I did there?

1161456084831_medium

However, Penn State only returns 10 total starters from last year's team; 5 from their fire-breathing offense, and 4 from their defense.

2009 Schedule

September 5 Akron Home
September 12 Syracuse Home
September 19 Temple Home
September 26 Iowa Home
October 3 Illinois Away  
October 10 Eastern Illinois Home  
October 17 Minnesota(2) Home  
October 24 Michigan Away  
October 31 Northwestern Away
November 7 Ohio State Home  
November 14 Indiana Home  
November 21 Michigan State Away  

 

One thing the media will harp on that is off base:

Daryll-clark-p3_medium

Electric.  Also: maybe running for his life.

Senior quarterback Daryll Clark is electricity personified.  He's quick, and unfortunately for Penn State's opponents, last year he learned to make plays without improvising.  The only thing more dangerous than a mobile quarterback is a mobile quarterback who has developed his game to the point where he's smart enough to make plays downfield, then make you pay with his legs if necessary.  As you can tell, I am a Daryll Clark fan.  However, this season, he returns exactly none of his primary receivers from last season.  Those receivers, by the way, were three of the top four receivers in Penn State history.  Combine this with the relative inexperience of the offensive line, and the offense that was the 11th ranked scoring offense in the country one year ago could sputter - especially early in the season.  Returning Royster and Clark, the O still has some key figures still in place, but is still a relatively young unit.  Could be problematic.

One thing the media will completely ignore that is integral to this team's success:

In much the same vein, play along the lines - both offensive and defensive - is what will determine the success of this team.  Junior Guard Steve Wisniewski and Senior Tackle Dennis Landolt are the lone returning starters on the offensive line, which isn't quite 2008 Michiganesque, but is close.  Protecting Clark's blind side - to the best of my knowledge - will be Sophomore DeOn'tae Pannell, a 4-star converted defensive lineman from Michigan with offers from most of the Big Ten including one from the Wolverines.  He's probably good.  As a Sophomore playing Left Tackle, he's also probably a bit raw for Penn State fans to be too comfortable.  Brandon Graham loves him some raw.

Defensively, Penn State does return the two tackles, Jarek Odrick - a 6'5" 300+lbs. space eater - and Ollie Ogbu, a slightly shorter but still 300 lbs. monster.  Sophomores Jack Crawford and Kevion Latham make up the bookends.  Both were middling 3-stars with ok-not-great offers.  Odrick and Ogbu - an awesome name pairing aesthetically - are going to have to be brick-wall types to make up for general lack of experience on the ends.  My bet is that they will be eating double teams, and probably allowing Latham and Crawford to mess things up in the backfield occasionally.  However, there will be plenty of times when Latham and Crawford are eatan alive.  Such is life with inexperienced defensive ends.

Eeda2f4381a1463bd8b7150155aba14f_medium

Ogbu (left) and Odrick (right) at Rose Bowl media day last year

Most important contributors on each side of the ball:

Far be it from me to take away from Clark, but I love Evan Royster.  The man just doesn't give a damn about what you're doing defensively - he's going to truck you.  I like that kind of back.  If Clark is going to be successful at all through the air, it's because Royster has put 8 in the box. 

Evan-royster-p1_medium

Truckin'

Defensively, it's gotta be the combo of Odrick and Ogbu.  These types of DT's are sorely missed on Michigan's roster, and it's amazing how demoralizing it is when your center's butt is the first contact made after a hand-off.

Area that scares you as Michigan Wolverines:

Lots of things scare me these days.  I think the front 7 of Penn State - if they gel correctly and the defensive ends are serviceable - is as good as it gets in the Big Ten.  The three linebackers go senior, senior, junior, and only one - Sean Lee - didn't start for last year's defense that ranked 8th in the nation.  He's a senior.

Area that makes you salivate as the Michigan Wolverines:

That secondary, provided we have a quarterback with clavicles that still function, is pretty ripe for the picking.  I also think Brandon Graham dreams of sophomore offensive tackles.

Random factor that you think will come into play this season:

I kind of doubt that it effects the play on the field, especially because it's pretty clear that JoePa leans heavily-to-exclusively on assistants, but the man keeps trucking.  Recently, he said this about Bobby Bowden:

The NCAA is going to do what it's going to do, but I would hope they would not take away 10 or 12 wins away from him. I don't think that's fair. He coached the team he had; they played against people, and they won. They ought to be wins for them.

That's a man right there.  Screw the politics of the NCAA - if I'm going to win this geriatric battle, I'm gonna win it fair and square.  Word, Joepa.  Word.

Overall Record:

10-2

Final Big Ten Standing:

Co-Champs

Bowl Destination:

Either the Rose, or a BCS at large.  With a laughable non conference (not to throw stones, Michigan's is laughable too), I just don't see this team losing until Ohio State.  Maybe.  Michigan State and Michigan will both be tough away games, and Iowa will be tough at home.  Of those three, I'm counting one loss for 10-2.  Could easily be 11-1, however.

0 recs  |  Comment 20 comments |

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Nice Preview

Overall you did a good job summarizing Penn State this season.

Here are the things I agree with you on:

The offensive line could be a liability. Especially Pannell. He played last year as a true freshman which is very rare at Penn State, so he’s going to be good someday. I just don’t know if it will be in 2009 or 2010.
The secondary scares me to death. We’re thin at cornerback, and everyone is inexperienced.
The wide receivers will probably not have the play making ability like last year, but they should be good. We have three serviceable guys we can plug in, and a few highly athletic freshmen that should make an immediate impact. Penn State won’t have a go-to guy like Derrick Williams and Deon Butler, but they should have plenty of options and a Daryll Clark is good enough to identify the mismatches and find the open man.

Here’s where I think you may have things wrong:

Every report I read says Jack Crawford is going to be a beast at defensive end. They’re already comparing him to Aaron Maybin. And when you see pictures of the guy he certainly passes the looks test. I think we’ll be ok there. The other defensive end spot I’m not so sure about, but the defensive tackles will be stellar. We probably have four or five defensive tackles that will be playing in the NFL some day including Odrick and Ogbu.
If we go 10-2 I don’t see us finishing out as co-champs. There’s no way we lose one of those out of conference games. Two losses in conference play isn’t going to win a championship.

But I think 10-2 is a fair estimate. There are five guys coming back that earned All Big Ten honors last year. That’s a lot of leadership. But at the same time we have to replace a ton of starters, so there are going to be some growing pains. Ohio State is obviously the big game for us, but away games at Illinois, Northwestern, Michigan and Michigan State won’t be easy. The potential is there if the offensive line, wide receivers, and secondary come together, but if one of them fail it will cost us a game somewhere. I think Penn State will be very good this year, but I’m holding back the BCS talk until I see a few games first.

by BSD on Jul 21, 2009 9:00 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Defensive End, 10-2

Crawford may very well be a beast, but he’s still young. To compare a sophomore – any sophomore – to Maybin is a little premature.

I dunno – I can see every team in the Big Ten this year losing at least twice. Ohio State isn’t invincible, and with Iowa and Michigan State, and maybe – MAYBE – Michigan being at least somewhat tough this year, I think this is a more parity-laden year than most for the conference.

That’s the fun of previews though – we’ll know a lot more once the first game is played.

Like an old man trying to send back soup at a deli.

by Beauford on Jul 21, 2009 9:13 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Crawford vs. Maybin

Ah, but you forget, Maybin was a just redshirt sophomore last year. Nobody outside of Happy Valley had any idea who Aaron Maybin was a year ago this time. He was supposed to be Maurice Evans’ backup if Evans hadn’t been suspended before the season started.

As good as Maybin was, he had his flaws. He only weighed about 235 lbs. He was fast and had a great outside pass rush, but teams that ran right at him usually did pretty well. Crawford is a solid 265 lb DE with a 36 inch verticle leap. I’m hoping he’s more of a complete package than Maybin. He probably won’t have 12.5 sacks like Maybin, but if he gets 6 sacks and proves to be a better run stopper I’ll be happy.

There’s a saying in PA that goes something like this: Time will tell, shit will smell, and water will seek its own level.

These things will sort themselves out when we start playing the games. The flaws will be apparent with time.

If you’re correct and every team in the conference loses twice it could be a pretty wild year with two or three co-champs.

by BSD on Jul 21, 2009 9:28 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not as worried about the secondary. It seems to be pretty much the same every year. As long as we don’t face any vertical, conventional passing threats (not like, say, Purdue) we should be all right.

What troubles me is the lack of depth.

DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?

by ReadingRambler on Jul 21, 2009 5:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes – but there is a theory on Defensive ends that says that wicked production like 12.5 sacks actually comes from the OTHER defensive end. As in, the better the pass-rush off the opposite end, the more the QB gets funneled to you.

As the DT’s eat up double teams, the ends will have their chances. I don’t see the pass rush at the line-level being a strength of this PSU team this year, however.

Like an old man trying to send back soup at a deli.

by Beauford on Jul 21, 2009 9:47 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Eh

I was going to write up a huge response, but I’ll just save it for the podcast.

by BSD on Jul 21, 2009 10:01 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's only if I ask you about it.....

Maybe I’ll ask you exclusively about JayPa….

No. I’d never do that.

To anyone.

Maize n Brew
Because Football is Better with Beer

by Maize n Brew Dave on Jul 21, 2009 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

you know i am straight

but Daryl Clark’s tricep muscle…woo geez

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Jul 21, 2009 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dude is huge

I went to the spring game in 2008 and stood in awe when he walked by me heading to the lockerroom. I’m surprised Joe didn’t turn him into a linebacker.

by BSD on Jul 21, 2009 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

sometimes I wish I could rent a body like his for a day

no no, not that way, but to BE that body. Of course, I’d feel bad giving it back all STD-ified.

by The JuggerNitt on Jul 22, 2009 2:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No love for kicker Anthony Fera???

As a PSU fan, the road game that scares me most is the Michigan game. This is a team that always acts snakebit when they arrive in Ann Arbor.

by Cairo on Jul 21, 2009 2:57 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Cairo

You, as a long time BSD member, should know not to worry. We have the Fist Pump.

DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?

by ReadingRambler on Jul 21, 2009 5:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is that like the love pump?

Spinal-tap, out.

Like an old man trying to send back soup at a deli.

by Beauford on Jul 21, 2009 8:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No

Not at all.

DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?

by ReadingRambler on Jul 21, 2009 11:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

ya beat me to it..

"Want a donut go to dunkin donuts, want a linebacker go to Penn State." - Chris Carter

by xozte on Jul 22, 2009 2:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i'm with cairo

i was there last time we were in ann arbor.
it felt….horrible.

tailgating was great, tho’.

mike nailed it with the secondary. we had an experienced secondary last year, and when we didn’t get to the qb there were problems.

the LBs are PSU’s strength again. don’t discount them on the pass rush.

otherwise, nice writeup.

I looked at Ohrnberger in the fourth quarter and he looked back at me. And we said, 'We're not losing this game"

by psudrozz on Jul 21, 2009 8:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Understatement of the year...

Sean Lee didn’t start for last year’s defense.

That’s true, but despite that fact, I think he has a chance to be pretty good this year.

"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008

by jesse. on Jul 21, 2009 8:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow, you were part of Rose Bowl Media Day?

You need to work on your interview pose, tho ;)

I liked this style of preview—relating to how it affects your own team. And I liked these sections:
- off base MSM harpings
- important aspects the MSM will ignore

Cool stuff. BTW, LJ Senior would love to have him some Brandon Graham. I’ll be very curious to watch that trench battle with Boren in the OSU game.

"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69

by jtothep on Jul 22, 2009 7:17 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I hope he tears Boren a new one

Much more respect for Michigan than OSU from where I sit.

by RNF18 on Jul 22, 2009 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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