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Tweaking Your Resume II: Where Michigan Stands Tonight For The NCAA Tournament

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - MARCH 11:  Darius Morris #4 of the Michigan Wolverines reacts against the Illinois Fighting Illini during the quarterfinals of the 2011 Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament at Conseco Fieldhouse on March 11, 2011 in Indianapolis, Indiana. Michigan won 60-55. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

With a 60-55 win over Illinois, the Michigan Wolverines appear to have locked up a 2011 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament invite. But, with a slew of upsets and bubble teams that continue to win nothing is guaranteed just yet. A surprising win by Alabama over Georgia pushes the Tide closer to a Tournament invite. Clemson won, and won big. Then in the Big Ten Michigan State dismembered Purdue and buried its body under the Conseco hard wood like they were Jimmy Hoffa. Then there's the worst basketball game ever played where Penn State beat Wisconsin 36-33. I'll repeat that 36-33, in two halves. That's horrible. That's not basketball. That might as well be rec league soccer. In Chad. In 1983.

The point is, Michigan has company on the bubble. A lot of it. So it can't hurt to take a look at Michigan's recently polished NCAA Tournament resume.

Overall Record: 20-12

Record Against D1 Opponents: 19-12

Conference Record [Including BTT]: 10-9

Strength of Schedule: 17

RPI [W/O Illinois Win]: 56

Good Wins [RPI]: Harvard [34]; Illinois [39]; Michigan St. [47] (twice); Penn St. [55] (twice); Oakland [52]; @ Clemson [61]

Bad losses [RPI]: @ Indiana [182]; @ Northwestern [91]

Record against Top 50 RPI: 4-8

Record against Top 100 RPI: 10-11

Performance in last Ten Games: 7-3 (losses by a total of 12 points) [9-3 in last 12]

Overall Michigan has 4 total top 50 scalps, two of which are Michigan State's (which just annihilated Purdue), so there is a decent record against the top 50. Importantly, they're just a game below .500 in 21 games against the RPI top 100. The big bonus is that Illinois bubble has to burst before Michigan's is even in jeopardy. The biggest thing to consider is that many of the teams that are pushing bubble runs right now trail Michigan in RPI (Alabama and Clemson for instance) and SOS.

At this point, Michigan looks like it's punched it's ticket to the Big Dance for the second time in three years.

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I really don’t think Michigan was on the bubble even before beating Illinois. Their win over Michigan State put them in the tournament in my opinion. They are just playing for seeding at this point.

by PhilsForever on Mar 12, 2011 9:55 AM CST reply actions  

I'm not so sure

It was a good, not great resume. With a lot of bubble teams winning, I think yesterday was a must win. the insanity of the conference tournaments this season means that nothing was for granted. Marquette, Alabama, Clemson, even Dayton potentially winning its conference means that Michigan (with it’s 56 RPI) needed to win. At best, with a loss, Michigan was looking at a 12 seed at best, a play in game most likely, or out of the tournament. Any of the above were kind of equal in possibility.

But they won, so the ticket is punched for sure and you’re right. They’re playing for seeding.

Maize n Brew
Because Football is Better with Beer

by Maize n Brew Dave on Mar 12, 2011 10:24 AM CST up reply actions  

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