Welp, it looks like I was right, and Gareon Conley will be officially decomitting any day now. 247 Sports is reporting that Conley has already decided he will officially visit Ohio State and Oregon in the near future. Apparently, his mother has always wanted him to attend Oregon, yet his father is a Michigan fan. I'm pretty sure I also read somewhere that he himself grew up an Ohio State fan. Either way, it's a big mess. We all know the drill. Conley will take these visits and the coaching staff will pull his scholarship. It's already happened twice now during the Hoke era (2012 TE Pharoah Brown and 2013 OL David Dawson) so there's no reason why it wouldn't happen again if (when) Conley goes through with these visits.
Conley recently wanted to visit Cincinnati, but after a conversation with the coaching staff in which they presumably told him his scholarship would be pulled, he decided against it. But that was Cincinnati. Now he wants to visit the Big Boys like Oregon and Ohio State. Oregon hasn't yet offered (Coach Kelly has the same visit policy as Coach Hoke), but Ohio State did recently offer Conley. Actually, according to 247, Conley made his official visit to Ohio State two days ago on October 30th. I haven't heard this anywhere else, but if true...we all know the drill.
This leaves 4 available spots for the 2013 class. Wait, no...Michigan got another commitment yesterday for the 2013 class in 3-star WR Da'Mario Jones out of Westland, MI. The coaching staff called him yesterday, probably under the presumption that Conley will decommit, and he committed on the spot. Tremendous actually called this a while ago. Jones is 6'2" and 185 pounds. Interesting side note: Hoke has not received a commitment from a receiver under 6'2" since he's been at Michigan. In case you're worried, multiple analysts have reported that Jones's commitment shouldn't affect Michigan's pursuit of WR Laquon Treadwell, but it's just a contingency plan to the inevitable loss of Gareon Conley, who although is a DB, could have seen time at WR. I don't know if Treadwell got that message though:
Another .. Umm— Laquon Treadwell (@SuccessfulQuon) October 31, 2012
This may have nothing to do with Jones committing, and it is indeed just a teenager tweeting about potentially anything. Just interesting that the tweet was sent out soon after word got out of Jones's commitment. Now, I'm not naive, and I know losing Dawson and Conley is huge...but there are some pretty nice options out there. Three spots left people.
S Leon McQuay III
So here's the rundown on McQuay. If you don't already know, McQuay III is a 5-star safety out of Seffner, Florida. He's 6'2" and 185 pounds and is ranked the 2nd-best safety in the country, the 18th-best player in the nation, and the 5th-best player out of Florida by Rivals. He is damn good. For a while, Michigan was one of his favorite schools. Then there were rumors that he was told he would have to commit if he was planning on choosing UM because otherwise there would be no room for him (given that there were two spots "saved" for Laquon Treadwell and Derrick Green). McQuay did not want to commit at that time, so he probably assumed that Michigan no longer had room for him in the 2013 class. His top-3 schools were then (and are now) Florida State, USC, and Vanderbilt, with Oregon possibly creeping into the picture. Now things are a little different. With Michigan having lost David Dawson and on the way to losing Gareon Conley (who is also a DB), now there is room in the 2013 class. Not only that, but USC and Vanderbilt are now full at DB, each having about 15 DBs committed in their respective class. Just kidding. But seriously, USC has 5 DB commits and Vandy has 7 (!) DB commits. The other thing Michigan has going for it is its music program. McQuay has taken notice of JDK & Rey and McQuay's passion lies in music. Maybe this is what pushes him over the edge for Michigan. McQuay has taken 2 official visits already, visiting Vanderbilt on October 12th and Oregon on October 26th. Next up is Michigan on November 9th and Florida State on November 23rd. His visit is a huge deal.
RB Derrick Green
Everyone should know who Derrick Green is at this point. He is probably Michigan's biggest remaining target thus far. He took his official to Michigan for the Michigan State game, at which multiple commits and recruits said he had a great time and seemed like he was very much leaning towards Michigan. Rivals's Mike Farrell believes that out of his remaining top schools (Michigan, Tennesse, and Auburn), that Michigan is the best fit. I agree. He has gone silent since his official. Michigan fans want to take this as a good sign -- has he given a silent commitment to the coaches? I've read that he's gone silent because his parents don't want him talking to any reporters while he's studying for his SAT. Who knows? We'll find out soon enough, but I can't imagine Michigan isn't his #1 right now.
WR Laquon Treadwell
We all know the deal with Treadwell. Michigan was thought to be #1 throughout his entire recruiting process, but the longer he waits to pull the trigger, the more nervous everyone becomes. But the fact of the matter is, Michigan will hold Treadwell's spot until National Signing Day if they have to. If he decides to go elsewhere, I'm sure there's a contingency plan. He is still planning on visiting Michigan for an official visit, but he's also planning on visiting Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Just more of the same in regards to Treadwell.
K J.J. McGrath
McGrath is interesting. At first glance, why would Michigan offer a kicker a scholarship when so few spots remain in the class? But now, with both Dawson and Conley decomitting, McGrath is a real option. McGrath is the #1 kicker in the country. He already has a preferred walk-on scholarship offer from Alabama and is hearing from LSU and Michigan State. Whether or not he's offered by Michigan will remain to be seen. Keep in mind though that Michigan already has 3 scholarship kickers on the team.
DE Alquadin Muhammad
Muhammad is a 4-star, 6'4" and 225-pound defensive end out of Ramsey, New Jersey. Muhammad is ranked as the 7th-best DE, the 156th player in the nation, and the 6th-best out of New Jersey according to Rivals. Muhammad has Notre Dame, Alabama, and Michigan as his top-3 (probably in order). Michigan is a long-shot here, but he hasn't visited Michigan yet and plans to on an official visit. Muhammad isn't planning on deciding until the Army All-American game so Michigan does have time to pursue him rather strongly if they want to.
OL David Knevel
Knevel seems like the next man up after losing David Dawson. He has been receiving a lot of attention lately and recently started hearing from Michigan. Knevel is an offensive tackle out of Brantford, Ontario (Canada) who stands 6'9" and 285 pounds. He does not currently hold a Michigan offer and his top two schools are Purdue and Nebraska. Knevel is given a 4-star rating by 247 and is also ranked as the 17th-best OT. He plans on visiting Michigan soon. If Michigan offers, I would imagine it would be hard for him to pass up, one reason being that Ann Arbor is only a 4-hour drive from his hometown of Brantford, ON.
My hope is that Michigan finishes this class with McQuay III, Green, and Treadwell. My guess is that Michigan finishes this class with McQuay III, Green, and Knevel. Either way, not too shabby.