SB Nation's Bill Connelly revealed the Week 12 projections that his S&P+ model, which is derived from play-by-play data and adjusts for opponents, has produced. This week, S&P+ projects that Michigan has a 65.9-percent chance to win and Michigan will beat Penn State, 27-20.

S&P+ also projects that Ohio State will roll Michigan State, 35-21, which would set up a one-game showdown between the Wolverines and the Buckeyes next week to determine who'll win the Big Ten East division.