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We have discussed before how the FPI projections that ESPN puts out are far from the gospel truth, but right now it’s a way for us to take emotion out of it and see what the numbers have to say about the Michigan Wolverines moving forward.
They don’t make us feel any better.
After the loss to Wisconsin, almost every single game the rest of the way saw its potential win percentage dip, including this weekend’s game against Rutgers. Outside of the Scarlet Knights and Maryland, FPI is predicting a lot more pain this season and that includes the game against 0-4 Penn State.
FPI projects Michigan finishing with a record of 3.3-5.7, putting them somewhere between three and four wins. Some might argue that outlook is optimistic at the moment. With that said, here is what it projects for each game the rest of the way, sans the crossover game.
Oct. 24 at Minnesota — 49-24 W
Oct. 31 vs. Michigan State — 27-24 L
Nov. 7 at Indiana — 38-21 L
Nov. 14 vs. Wisconsin — 49-11 L
Nov. 21 at Rutgers — 63.3 percent
Nov. 28 vs. Penn State — 32.7 percent
Dec. 5 vs. Maryland — 75.5 percent
Dec. 12 at Ohio State — 4.9 percent
It will be another primetime showing for Michigan in the game against Rutgers with a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff set from Piscataway on Saturday night on Big Ten Network. Vegas odds have installed the Wolverines as an 8.5-point favorite heading into the contest.