Week 6 is a big week of College Football for the Big Ten, as Michigan, Michigan State, and Ohio State have key matchups, while Iowa and Penn State—arguably the two best teams in the Big Ten—face off for a big game in the mid-afternoon.
Our own Jacob Shames made betting picks earlier this week on five games across the Big Ten, predicting results against the spread as well as total game over/unders.
In terms of Prop Bets, most sports books don’t offer player props for these games (or college games in general), but there are plenty of bets out there for fans who don’t bet against the spread.
Here are three alternate bets you may want to invest in this weekend.
No. 11 Michigan State (-5) at Rutgers, O/U 50 — 12 p.m., BTN
Michigan State is quietly turning into one of the best teams in the nation, but this should be a close one as Rutgers proved against Michigan a few weeks ago that they can make Big Ten teams work for victories this season.
Based on past performances, we can expect a lot of points in this matchup. These teams have combined to score 67.6 points on average, with 6 out of their 10 games featuring more than 51 total points.
I could expect both offenses coming out on fire, as I could see Heisman Dark Horse Kenneth Walker III and Bo Melton combining to score the first few touchdowns.
The Over/Under on total points scored in the first half is 27.5, and Michigan State has averaged more than 21 points in the first half on their own this season.
If you can find a book that gives you odds for Walker III to score the first touchdown, I would hop on that. Otherwise, the first half over seems like a lock.
Pick: Over 27.5 total first half points
No. 4 Penn State at No. 3 Iowa (-2.5), O/U 41.5 — 4 p.m., FOX
This is the game that Big Ten fans have been waiting for, as the winner of this game can use this quality win to make a compelling case to be in the College Football Playoff.
Even after last week’s beat down on Maryland, Iowa is only averaging 320 yards of offense per game, which ranks last in the Big Ten in total offense.
Both squads are defined by their defense, as they combine to only give up 292.4 yards per game to their opponents.
This has all the makings to be a classic rock fight, and the first quarter total of 7.5 gives you a cushion in case future first round receiver Jahan Dotson makes a play to score for the Nittany Lions.
Pick: Under 7.5 total first quarter points
No. 9 Michigan (-3.5) at Nebraska, O/U 51.5 — 7:30 p.m., ABC
This has all the makings of being a close game, as evidenced by the spread being just over a field goal.
Just like in past years in primetime games, I expect Michigan to get off to a hot start before taking their foot off the gas a little bit and letting Nebraska hang around, similar to what happened in the Rutgers game a few weeks ago.
Adrian Martinez is even more explosive with his legs than Verdal, and I expect him to showcase the lapses in the Michigan defense in this one.
If you can find a prop for Martinez rushing yards, I would hammer the over. One long shot bet I like is the first half to end in a tie (it’s around +700 or +800 in most books). I think this will be a one-possession game the whole time , so if you agree, you might as well sprinkle First Half Result to be a tie with those sky-high odds.