The Michigan Wolverines are less than a week away from playing Alabama in the Rose Bowl in the semifinals of the College Football Playoff. It will be the third straight time the Wolverines are in the playoff, but they are still looking for their first win.
They come into the Rose Bowl as a slight favorite, per Vegas oddsmakers, but they are also a favorite on the ESPN FPI, which currently gives the Wolverines a 55.6 percent chance to beat the Crimson Tide. Additionally, they have a 36 percent chance to win the National Championship.
Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide have a 26.9 percent chance to win their first National title since 2020.
In the other CFP semifinal, Texas has a 69.2 percent change to beat Washington, per the FPI. The Longhorns have the second-best chance to win the title with a 29.2 percent chance.
The Wolverines seemed to be slighted by the rankings all season long, as they sat behind Ohio State for most of the year and were even behind teams with one-loss (like Alabama) for a good portion of the year as well. The Wolverines finally ascended to the top after their win over Ohio State — and continue to stay there — but are somehow just 0.2 points ahead of the Buckeyes despite beating them.
The public opinion seems to favor the Crimson Tide in the Rose Bowl even though the Wolverines are undefeated, ranked No. 1 in the country and favored by the oddsmakers and FPI.
The Wolverines will have their hands full, but the computers are finally giving them the edge. We will see soon enough if they can pull it off and make it to their first ever CFP title game on Jan. 8.