The Michigan Wolverines and UCLA Bruins meet on Tuesday night in Indianapolis with the last spot in the Final Four on the line. The winner will join Baylor, Houston and Gonzaga as the teams remaining in contention for a national title.
UCLA can stroke it. The Bruins are 34th in the nation in 3-point shooting, per KenPom, and are hitting 40 percent of their attempts so far in the tournament. They don’t shoot that many, though, as they’re just 296th in the country in percentage of shots from outside. Their big guns — Juzang, Jaquez and Bernard — can catch it and shoot it, but the offense is more predicated on them creating off the dribble and inside the arc. Either way, UCLA is 11th in offensive efficiency per KenPom. (On defense, they’re 55th).
A team made up of players like Juzang, Jaquez and Bernard might conjure up images of a free-flowing, fast-paced team that likes to go bombs away, but that’s not UCLA. Per KenPom, they’re the 11th-slowest team in the nation per adjusted tempo. That deliberate pace works for them, though, as they rarely turn the ball over — just 28 giveaways for the entire NCAA Tournament.
Michigan should be able to match up with Campbell well, presumably with Smith. Eli Brooks could have a tough task, as Juzang, Jaquez and Bernard are all adept at rising and hitting pull-up jumpers. Franz Wagner and Chaundee Brown, with their length and size, might be better equipped to slow the trio.
Teams: No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (23-4, 14-3 Big Ten) vs. No. 11 UCLA Bruins (21-9, 13-9 Pac-12)
Time: Tuesday, March 30, 9:57 p.m. ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Streaming: March Madness Live, YouTube TV, Hulu, FuboTV (free trial link here)
Vegas: Michigan -7.5, over/under 136
KenPom Projection: Michigan 71-66, 69 percent chance of victory
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