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Daily Brews: Michigan football’s latest bowl projections heading into bye week

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Michigan’s postseason possibilities are starting to come into focus.

NCAA Football: Michigan at Maryland Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan now heads into a bye week after its second-straight impressive victory amidst a turnaround from some early season woes. Sitting at 7-2 and out of the Big Ten title hunt has been a hard pill to swallow, but there are still a handful of scenarios where the Wolverines can not only end on a high note, but also grab a decent bowl matchup that allows them to end 2019 and head into 2020 with some momentum.

The good news for those looking to travel is that many of the just-updated bowl projections have the Wolverines heading to a warm-weather destination, which is nice considering the Pinstripe Bowl in New York was something that was discussed as recent as a few weeks ago.

Here’s the latest sampling of postseason destinations.

ESPN’s Mark Schlabach: Holiday Bowl in San Diego (Dec. 27) vs. Washington

ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura: Holiday Bowl in San Diego (Dec. 27) vs. USC

Bleacher Report: Outback Bowl in Tampa (Jan. 1) vs. Texas A&M

CBS Sports: Gator Bowl in Jacksonville (Jan. 2) vs. Missouri

247Sports: Gator Bowl in Jacksonville (Jan. 2) vs. Missouri

Sporting News: Holiday Bowl in San Diego (Dec. 27) vs. USC

Banner Society’s Jason Kirk: Citrus Bowl in Orlando (Jan. 1) vs. Auburn

Saturday Down South: Citrus Bowl in Orlando (Jan. 1) vs. Auburn

Of all of these, the one that still intrigues perhaps the most is the prospect of a showdown with Washington, who the Wolverines open the 2020 season against on the road. Auburn and the Citrus Bowl are new additions this week and might be the “sexiest” matchup of the bunch, but there’s still intrigue all over the board here. It seems likely that they will be sent to one of these spots, but things could get crazy if they win out and find a way to beat Ohio State. Then, we might be talking New Year’s Six, but that’s still a major “if.”

FPI chances updated for last three games

The Wolverines have only three football games left this season after the bye week ends and ESPN’s FPI has updated Michigan’s chances of winning each of its remaining matchups.

Here’s a look at where things stand for the games the rest of the year:

Nov. 16 vs. Michigan State: 81.4 percent

Nov. 23 at Indiana: 75 percent

Nov. 30 vs. Ohio State: 19.2 percent

Weeks ago, Michigan was only 54 percent likely to beat MSU, but that was amid some bad football being played by the Wolverines and the wheels have nearly fallen off the Spartans since then. Their season, and the Mark Dantonio era, is on the brink of a collapse and FPI likes the Wolverines’ chances of driving the nail in the coffin there. It also likes their chances of going to Indiana and getting a win, but we all know to throw out metrics and predictions for that game. It always gets weird in Bloomington.

The odds of beating the Buckeyes have by and large remained the same throughout the year. Michigan had similar odds of going into Penn State and winning and darn near pulled it off, though. So who knows what could be in store for The Game.

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