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ESPN’s FPI updates Michigan football outlook after Rutgers game

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The performance, second half or not, did very little to shake the computers.

Rutgers v Michigan Photo by Gaelen Morse/Getty Images

The Michigan Wolverines took a heck of a punch on Saturday but survived 20-13 over Rutgers. This has done nothing with the fans to put concerns of the team aside, but the computers still love Michigan.

The win and results from other teams on Michigan’s schedule have given ESPN more data points to update its Football Power Index (FPI), which now predicts a 9.7-2.6 record for the Wolverines, which is up a whole win over last week. They came into the season with a 6-6-ish projection from the Worldwide Leader’s metric.

For reference, here were the FPI percentages from last week.

Here are the updated chances of victory for each opponent this season.

Sept. 4 — vs. Western Michigan, 47-14 W (1-0)

Sept. 11 — vs. Washington, 31-10 W (2-0)

Sept. 18 — vs. Northern Illinois, 63-10 W (3-0)

Sept. 25 — vs. Rutgers, 20-13 W (4-0, 1-0 B1G)

Oct. 2 — at No. 18 Wisconsin, 69% projected chance of victory

Oct. 9 — at Nebraska, 67.9% projected chance of victory

Oct. 23 — vs. Northwestern, 92.9% projected chance of victory

Oct. 30 — at Michigan State, 54.6% projected chance of victory

Nov. 6 — vs. Indiana, 88% projected chance of victory

Nov. 13 — at No. 10 Penn State, 53.3% projected chance of victory

Nov. 20 — at Maryland, 74.4% projected chance of victory

Nov. 27 — vs. No. 9 Ohio State, 53.7% projected chance of victory

The Wolverines continue their run through the 2021 season on Saturday afternoon in a contest with the Wisconsin Badgers in Madison. Kickoff is set for noon on FOX.