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ESPN’s updated FPI increases Michigan’s projected win total after Week 1

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Now there are data points to punch in.

Syndication: Detroit Free Press Kirthmon F. Dozier via Imagn Content Services, LLC

The Michigan Wolverines opened the 2021 season in impressive fashion with a 47-14 win over Western Michigan. There is still a ton of work to do and some big tests looming, but the win itself has created some optimism that this team won’t be as down in the dumps as some were expecting.

The win and results from other teams on Michigan’s schedule have given ESPN data points to update its Football Power Index (FPI), which now predicts an 8-4 record for the Wolverines. They came into the season with a 6-6-ish projection from the Worldwide Leader’s metric.

Here are the updated chances of victory for each opponent this season. Note that AP Poll rankings will not be updated until Tuesday, which is why Washington is still ranked.

Sept. 4 — vs. Western Michigan, 47-14 W (1-0)

Sept. 11 — vs. No. 20 Washington, 82.6% projected chance of victory

Sept. 18 — vs. Northern Illinois, 92.5% projected chance of victory

Sept. 25 — vs. Rutgers, 79% projected chance of victory

Oct. 2 — at No. 12 Wisconsin, 46.6% projected chance of victory

Oct. 9 — at Nebraska, 65.4% projected chance of victory

Oct. 23 — vs. Northwestern, 81.3% projected chance of victory

Oct. 30 — at Michigan State, 43.3% projected chance of victory

Nov. 6 — vs. No. 17 Indiana, 78.4% projected chance of victory

Nov. 13 — at No. 19 Penn State, 35.6% projected chance of victory

Nov. 20 — at Maryland, 69.9% projected chance of victory

Nov. 27 — vs. Ohio State, 25.8% projected chance of victory

Michigan’s next challenge comes on Saturday night in a tilt with the Washington Huskies at p.m. ET from Ann Arbor.